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The drop in funded ratio is largely due to lackluster performance by investment returns, which were flat through the first six months of 2018. Milliman's simplified portfolio earned about 0.2% for the first half of the year, well below the 3% to 4% assumed rate of return for most plans and in stark contrast to the 16% aggregate return experienced in 2017.
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We've said it before and we ll say it again: the funded status of multiemployer pensions is primarily driven by investment performance. As Congress explores potential solutions to improve the solvency of these pensions, plans need to continue looking for ways to reduce risk exposure and protect their members in the case of a potential stock market downturn.
As of June 30, 2018, 355 of the plans studied had a funded ratio at or above 100%, while 258 plans had a funded ratio at or under 70%. To view the complete study, click here.
To receive regular updates of Milliman's pension funding analysis, contact us here.